Stories

Nate Silver, the political prognosticator who rose to fame during the 2008 presidential campaign, will speak at Iowa State University on Monday, April 20, at 8 p.m. His presentation, “How Obama Really Won the Election,” is free and open to the public.

In the aftermath of Friday’s Iowa Supreme Court decision, Nate Silver, who earned his stripes as a political prognosticator during the 2008 presidential election, predicts that nationwide it will become harder and harder to pass bans on same-sex marriage over time.

Although Nate Silver’s status as a political forecaster was cemented by this year’s presidential election, I take issue with his suggestion that Sen. Chuck Grassley is a lock to retain his seat in 2010.  Briefly, here’s why:

At his popular election blog FiveThirtyEight.com, Nate Silver says Sen. Charles Grassley’s seat would most likely fall to a Democrat if he retires in 2010. Otherwise, he’s a safe bet for re-election.

Nate Silver, who’s Web site FiveThirtyEight.com became mandatory reading during this year’s election, has an interesting take on the success of California’s Proposition 8, a ballot initiative to amend the state’s Constitution to restrict the definition of marriage to a union between a man and a woman (the measure passed, but is being challenged by [...]