Stories

Barack Obama continues to hold a steady lead on the Iowa Electronic Markets, with little movement since the final debate two weeks ago.

Traders on the Iowa Electronic Markets are, after the final debate, giving Barack Obama a commanding lead.
Thursday morning, Obama shares on the Winner Take All market were selling at nearly 86 cents, meaning traders give the Democratic ticket a 86 percent chance of winning. John McCain’s shares are selling for just under 15 cents. Those [...]

The Dow Jones may be dropping, but one stock that keeps rising is Barack Obama’s — on the Iowa Electronic Markets.
Tuesday morning, Obama shares on the Winner Take All market were selling at 77 cents, meaning traders give the Democratic ticket a 77 percent chance of winning. That’s up 10 cents since the first presidential [...]

John McCain’s political stock dropped–literally–after Friday’s debate with Barack Obama, or so investors on the Iowa Electronic Markets think.
At 9 a.m. Monday, McCain’s shares were trading for 32 cents on the IEM’s Winner Take All presidential market, meaning traders give the McCain-Palin ticket only 32 percent chance of winning. On Friday, before the debate, McCain [...]

It’s too soon for polls to reflect what bounce if any John McCain and Sarah Palin got out of the Republican National Convention, but traders on the Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) are mostly unmoved by the unprecedented back-to-back convention weeks.

For the first time in their 20-year history of political trading, the Iowa Electronic Markets are branching out beyond presidential politics.

Presumptive Democratic nominee Barack Obama is widely favored to defeat John McCain by traders in the Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM), but the folks voting with their dollars expect the margin itself to be narrower.

Barack Obama’s big lead in the Iowa Electronic Markets is virtually unchanged despite a big loss Tuesday in West Virginia.

At midnight, as Hillary Clinton rolled up a 67 percent to 26 percent win, Obama’s IEM shares were trading at 89.9 cents, meaning traders give the Illinois senator a 90 percent chance of becoming the Democratic [...]

Barack Obama’s big Tuesday win in North Carolina and narrow loss (but they’re still counting) in Indiana has led to a price jump on the Iowa Electronic Markets.

Barack Obama is maintaining his lead over Hillary Clinton in Iowa Electronic Market (IEM) trading on the eve of the Pennsylvania Democratic primary.

As of 9:00 Monday morning, Obama shares were trading at 75 cents, meaning traders give the Illinois senator a 75 percent chance of becoming the Democratic nominee.  Clinton shares were going for 21 [...]