Eight-term Democratic Attorney General Tom Miller is in danger of losing in November, at least according to political handicapper Louis Jacobson, who lists the race as a “toss up.”
As a part of his Attorneys General Race Ratings for Governing magazine, the race between Miller and former U.S. Rep. Steve King’s chief of staff Brenna Findley is considered too close to call. In addition to her aggressive campaigning and increased favorability toward Republican candidates nationwide, Findley may also capitalize on the Iowa egg recall that has caught national headlines recently. As The Iowa Independent reported last week, Findley pressured Miller to return a $10,000 campaign donation from the son of the embattled company owner, which Miller did.
Findley has posted huge fundraising numbers, showing nearly $165,000 cash on hand as of the last filing period in July. And she’s picked up major endorsements from the conservative community, including former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann and former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum.
“Such role models may not add to her popularity among moderates, but Findley has been a strong fundraiser, has run an aggressive campaign and has an especially strong Republican wind at her back in the Hawkeye State,” Jacobson notes.
But Miller still has more cash on hand — more than $230,000 — and the only public poll for the race, despite being commissioned by a conservative blog, shows him with a lead.
Jacobson notes: “Democrats caution against writing off Miller. But whether this race moves from tossup to lean Democratic depends on how well the incumbent can kick up his campaign effort.”