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Open letter to readers: Today and tomorrow

By Lynda Waddington | 11.17.11

Wednesday was a difficult day for The American Independent News Network, which is the larger entity that operates The Iowa Independent. Our chief executive and founder announced two of our sister sites would close and their content would be moved to The American Independent.

ACS lockout continues; plan emerges to repeal sugar protections

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By Virginia Chamlee | 11.15.11

A recently introduced bill could have far-reaching impact on the U.S. sugar industry, including American Crystal Sugar, a farmer-owned cooperative that locked out 1,300 Midwest workers on Aug. 1.

Cain campaign: Farmers know more about regulations than EPA

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By Andrew Duffelmeyer | 11.15.11

The chairman for Herman Cain’s Iowa effort says the campaign “relied more on the word of farmers than Washington regulators” in deciding to run an ad containing claims the Environmental Protection Agency says are false.

Mathis wins, Democrats maintain Senate control

Liz Mathis
By Lynda Waddington | 11.08.11

The Iowa Senate will remain under the control of a slim 26-25 Democratic majority when it reconvenes in January 2012.

Press Release

PR: Nation should work to address veterans’ challenges

By Press Release Reprints | 11.11.11

BRUCE BRALEY RELEASE — As US involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan ends, it’s more important than ever that our nation works to address the challenges faced by the men and women who fought there.

PR: Honoring veterans, help in hiring

By Press Release Reprints | 11.11.11

CHUCK GRASSLEY RELEASE — A difficult job market is challenging the soldiers, sailors and airmen who have protected America’s interests by serving in the Armed Forces.

PR: In honor of America’s veterans

By Press Release Reprints | 11.11.11

TOM LATHAM RELEASE — No one has done more to secure the freedom enjoyed by every single American than our veterans and those currently serving in the armed services.

PR: Honoring and supporting our nation’s veterans

By Press Release Reprints | 11.11.11

DAVE LOEBSACK RELEASE — Veterans Day is an opportunity to reflect on the service of generations of veterans and to honor the sacrifices they and their families have made so that we may live in peace and freedom here at home.

Former Clinton pollster looks back and asks ‘what if’

By Jason Hancock | 05.01.09 | 6:01 pm

The release of Elizabeth Edwards’ memoir next month has begun another round of “what ifs” from former advisors to Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign.

In the book, Edwards says her husband, John, admitted just days before announcing his run for president in 2006 to his now widely publicized extramarital affair. According to the New York Daily News, she writes that she then asked her husband not to run for president in the 2008 campaign, to protect their family from public scrutiny.

Edwards eventually finished second in the Iowa Caucuses to Barack Obama before dropping out and endorsing him. Clinton finished third and was dealt what many consider a fatal blow to her presidential aspirations. Now, former Clinton pollster Mark Penn tells ABC News that it would have been a very different race if Edwards hadn’t run.

“Most likely it would have been a two-way race and would have released a lot of voters who focused on demographics . . . voters who would later vote for Hillary Clinton.”

This isn’t the first round of former Clintonites blaming their loss, at least partially, on Edwards. When news of the affair first broke last August, former Clinton Communications Director Howard Wolfson said if Edwards had been forced from the race earlier his candidate “would have won Iowa” and been the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee.

But polling data from the night of the Caucuses does tend to contradict Penn and Wolfson’s points.

In an interview with former Iowa Independent writer John Deeth, University of Iowa political science professor David Redlawsk said a Caucus night poll showed 82 percent of Edwards supporters said they would support another candidate and 18 percent would not.

“When we asked which candidate they would then support, 32 percent said Clinton and 51 percent said Obama,” he said. “Had this actually happened statewide, Obama would have been even further ahead of Clinton.”

Now these were voters who spent the campaign listening to all three before deciding on who to support, so their opinions could have been much different if Edwards were never involved in the race from the beginning. But as Deeth pointed out back in August, the Clinton campaign’s focus on experience and being “ready to go on day one” was in stark contrast to the campaigns of Edwards and Obama, where change from the status quo was the rallying cry.

The Clinton that emerged later in the 2008 campaign that garnered support from mostly older and working class voters might have done better in Iowa, but that campaign message seemed to evolve because her defeat in Iowa and several early states, so it didn’t do her much good in the Hawkeye State.

In the end, it’s impossible to know what might have been.

Follow Jason Hancock on Twitter


Comments

  • eean

    Mark Penn would blame anyone, as long as it wasn't his own shoddily-run campaign.

  • stacyx

    Mark Penn will do anything to distract attention from his horrendous, arrogant campaign strategy- he totally failed to understand the importance of the early caucus states until it was too late and he didn't even seem to understand the delegate/super-delegate count- again until it was too late. James Carville, a loyal Clintonite, in his upcoming book, says as much.

    http://secretaryclinton.wordpress.com/2009/04/2…

    To think Hillary still owes this loser (Penn) 2 million dollars must be a bitter pill to swallow.

  • eean

    Mark Penn would blame anyone, as long as it wasn't his own shoddily-run campaign.

  • http://secretaryclinton.wordpress.com stacyx

    Mark Penn will do anything to distract attention from his horrendous, arrogant campaign strategy- he totally failed to understand the importance of the early caucus states until it was too late and he didn't even seem to understand the delegate/super-delegate count- again until it was too late. James Carville, a loyal Clintonite, in his upcoming book, says as much.

    http://secretaryclinton.wordpress.com/2009/04/2…

    To think Hillary still owes this loser (Penn) 2 million dollars must be a bitter pill to swallow.

  • eean

    Mark Penn would blame anyone, as long as it wasn't his own shoddily-run campaign.

  • http://secretaryclinton.wordpress.com stacyx

    Mark Penn will do anything to distract attention from his horrendous, arrogant campaign strategy- he totally failed to understand the importance of the early caucus states until it was too late and he didn't even seem to understand the delegate/super-delegate count- again until it was too late. James Carville, a loyal Clintonite, in his upcoming book, says as much.

    http://secretaryclinton.wordpress.com/2009/04/2…

    To think Hillary still owes this loser (Penn) 2 million dollars must be a bitter pill to swallow.

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